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231226s2022 xx |||||o 00| ||eng c |
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|a 10.1016/j.ijedudev.2022.102581
|2 doi
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|a DE-627
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|a eng
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|a Monroy-Gómez-Franco, Luis
|e verfasserin
|4 aut
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|a The potential effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on learnings
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|c 2022
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|a Text
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|a ƒaComputermedien
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|a ƒa Online-Ressource
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|a Date Revised 09.09.2024
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|a published: Print-Electronic
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|a Citation Status PubMed-not-MEDLINE
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|a © 2022 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
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|a In this paper, we use a new database for Mexico to model the possible long-run effects of the pandemic on learning. First, based on the framework of Neidhöffer et al. (2021), we estimate the loss of schooling due to the transition from in-person to remote learning using data from the National Survey on Social Mobility (ESRU-EMOVI-2017), census data, and national statistics of COVID-19 incidence. In this estimation, we account for the attenuation capacity of households by econsidering the parental educational attainment and the economic resources available to the household in the calculation of the short-run cost. Secondly, we estimate the potential long-run consequences of this shock through a calibrated learning profile for five Mexican regions following Kaffenberger and Pritchett (2020a, 2020b). Assuming the distance learning policy adopted by the Mexican government is entirely effective, our results indicate that a learning loss equivalent to the learning during a third of a school year in the short run translates into a learning loss equivalent to an entire school year further up the educational career of students. On the other hand, if the policy was ineffective, the short-run loss increases to an entire school year and becomes a loss of two years of learning in the long run. Our results suggest substantial variation at the regional level, with the most affected region, the South experiencing a loss thrice as large as that of the least affected region, the Centre region
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|a Journal Article
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|a COVID-19
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|a Education
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|a Mexico
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|a Regional analysis
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|a Vélez-Grajales, Roberto
|e verfasserin
|4 aut
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|a López-Calva, Luis F
|e verfasserin
|4 aut
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|i Enthalten in
|t International journal of educational development
|d 1998
|g 91(2022) vom: 06. Mai, Seite 102581
|w (DE-627)NLM098159771
|x 0738-0593
|7 nnns
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|g volume:91
|g year:2022
|g day:06
|g month:05
|g pages:102581
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|u http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ijedudev.2022.102581
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