The potential effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on learnings
© 2022 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
| Veröffentlicht in: | International journal of educational development. - 1998. - 91(2022) vom: 06. Mai, Seite 102581 |
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| Format: | Online-Aufsatz |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
2022
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| Zugriff auf das übergeordnete Werk: | International journal of educational development |
| Schlagworte: | Journal Article COVID-19 Education Mexico Regional analysis |
| Zusammenfassung: | © 2022 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. In this paper, we use a new database for Mexico to model the possible long-run effects of the pandemic on learning. First, based on the framework of Neidhöffer et al. (2021), we estimate the loss of schooling due to the transition from in-person to remote learning using data from the National Survey on Social Mobility (ESRU-EMOVI-2017), census data, and national statistics of COVID-19 incidence. In this estimation, we account for the attenuation capacity of households by econsidering the parental educational attainment and the economic resources available to the household in the calculation of the short-run cost. Secondly, we estimate the potential long-run consequences of this shock through a calibrated learning profile for five Mexican regions following Kaffenberger and Pritchett (2020a, 2020b). Assuming the distance learning policy adopted by the Mexican government is entirely effective, our results indicate that a learning loss equivalent to the learning during a third of a school year in the short run translates into a learning loss equivalent to an entire school year further up the educational career of students. On the other hand, if the policy was ineffective, the short-run loss increases to an entire school year and becomes a loss of two years of learning in the long run. Our results suggest substantial variation at the regional level, with the most affected region, the South experiencing a loss thrice as large as that of the least affected region, the Centre region |
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| Beschreibung: | Date Revised 09.09.2024 published: Print-Electronic Citation Status PubMed-not-MEDLINE |
| ISSN: | 0738-0593 |
| DOI: | 10.1016/j.ijedudev.2022.102581 |