Meeting Paris agreement objectives will temper seabird winter distribution shifts in the North Atlantic Ocean

Bibliographische Detailangaben
Veröffentlicht in:	Global change biology. - 1999. - 27(2021), 7 vom: 06. Apr., Seite 1457-1469
1. Verfasser:	Clairbaux, Manon (VerfasserIn)
Weitere Verfasser:	Cheung, William W L, Mathewson, Paul, Porter, Warren, Courbin, Nicolas, Fort, Jérôme, Strøm, Hallvard, Moe, Børge, Fauchald, Per, Descamps, Sebastien, Helgason, Hálfdán, Bråthen, Vegard S, Merkel, Benjamin, Anker-Nilssen, Tycho, Bringsvor, Ingar S, Chastel, Olivier, Christensen-Dalsgaard, Signe, Danielsen, Jóhannis, Daunt, Francis, Dehnhard, Nina, Erikstad, Kjell-Einar, Ezhov, Alexeï, Gavrilo, Maria, Krasnov, Yuri, Langset, Magdalene, Lorentsen, Svein-Håkon, Newell, Mark, Olsen, Bergur, Reiertsen, Tone Kirstin, Systad, Geir, Þórarinsson, Þorkell L, Baran, Mark, Diamond, Tony, Fayet, Annette L, Fitzsimmons, Michelle G, Frederiksen, Morten, Gilchrist, Grant H, Guilford, Tim, Huffeldt, Nicholas P, Jessopp, Mark, Johansen, Kasper L, Kouwenberg, Amy L, Linnebjerg, Jannie F, McFarlane Tranquilla, Laura, Mallory, Mark, Merkel, Flemming R, Montevecchi, William, Mosbech, Anders, Petersen, Aevar, Grémillet, David
Format:	Online-Aufsatz
Sprache:	English
Veröffentlicht:	2021
Zugriff auf das übergeordnete Werk:	Global change biology
Schlagworte:	Journal Article DBEM NicheMapperTM Paris agreement RCP scenarios energy requirement mechanistic habitat selection seabird distributions seabird migration

Beschreibung
Zusammenfassung:	© 2020 John Wiley & Sons Ltd. We explored the implications of reaching the Paris Agreement Objective of limiting global warming to <2°C for the future winter distribution of the North Atlantic seabird community. We predicted and quantified current and future winter habitats of five North Atlantic Ocean seabird species (Alle alle, Fratercula arctica, Uria aalge, Uria lomvia and Rissa tridactyla) using tracking data for ~1500 individuals through resource selection functions based on mechanistic modeling of seabird energy requirements, and a dynamic bioclimate envelope model of seabird prey. Future winter distributions were predicted to shift with climate change, especially when global warming exceed 2°C under a "no mitigation" scenario, modifying seabird wintering hotspots in the North Atlantic Ocean. Our findings suggest that meeting Paris agreement objectives will limit changes in seabird selected habitat location and size in the North Atlantic Ocean during the 21st century. We thereby provide key information for the design of adaptive marine-protected areas in a changing ocean
Beschreibung:	Date Completed 23.04.2021 Date Revised 23.04.2021 published: Print-Electronic Citation Status MEDLINE
ISSN:	1365-2486
DOI:	10.1111/gcb.15497