Journal Article DBEM NicheMapperTM Paris agreement RCP scenarios Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't Research Support, U.S. Gov't, Non-P.H.S. ajuste comunitario black-legged kittiwake breeding phenology cambio de distribución climate change climate warming colonización colonization community adjustment community temperature index energy requirement extinción extinction foraging strategy humedales mechanistic habitat selection nonlinear response ocean warming rate phylogeny population decline range shift sea-surface temperature seabird