Multiattribute Risky Choice Behavior: The Editing of Complex Prospects

This investigation draws upon concepts from prospect theory (Kahneman and Tversky 1979) and multiattribute utility theory (Keeney and Raiffa 1976) in an examination of the multiattribute risky choice behavior of 128 managers. The questions of how managers edit multiattribute prospects and how editin...

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Bibliographische Detailangaben
Veröffentlicht in:Management Science. - Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences, 1954. - 30(1984), 11, Seite 1350-1361
1. Verfasser: Payne, John W. (VerfasserIn)
Weitere Verfasser: Laughhunn, Dan J., Crum, Roy
Format: Online-Aufsatz
Sprache:English
Veröffentlicht: 1984
Zugriff auf das übergeordnete Werk:Management Science
Schlagworte:Decision Making Risk Multiattribute Utility Theory Economics Behavioral sciences Business Mathematics Law
Beschreibung
Zusammenfassung:This investigation draws upon concepts from prospect theory (Kahneman and Tversky 1979) and multiattribute utility theory (Keeney and Raiffa 1976) in an examination of the multiattribute risky choice behavior of 128 managers. The questions of how managers edit multiattribute prospects and how editing relates to various independence assumptions were explored. The major result is that managers appear to violate attribute independence in its general form, and especially in the form of the marginality assumption. The most common form of behavior observed was multiattribute risk aversion for prospects involving only gains and multiattribute risk seeking for prospects involving only losses. This result reinforces the importance of a target, reference point, or aspiration level that has been found in earlier studies of single attribute risky choice. Furthermore, the result casts doubt on such commonly used multiattribute utility functions as the additive, multiplicative, and multilinear forms. The implications of the results for the development of multiattribute risky decision aids are discussed.
ISSN:15265501