Climate change increases flowering duration, driving phenological reassembly and elevated co-flowering richness
© 2024 The Author(s). New Phytologist © 2024 New Phytologist Foundation.
Veröffentlicht in: | The New phytologist. - 1979. - 243(2024), 6 vom: 24. Aug., Seite 2486-2500 |
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1. Verfasser: | |
Weitere Verfasser: | , , , , , |
Format: | Online-Aufsatz |
Sprache: | English |
Veröffentlicht: |
2024
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Zugriff auf das übergeordnete Werk: | The New phytologist |
Schlagworte: | Journal Article co‐flowering flowering duration flowering synchrony global change growing season phenological shift species interactions temporal species assemblage |
Zusammenfassung: | © 2024 The Author(s). New Phytologist © 2024 New Phytologist Foundation. Changes to flowering phenology are a key response of plants to climate change. However, we know little about how these changes alter temporal patterns of reproductive overlap (i.e. phenological reassembly). We combined long-term field (1937-2012) and herbarium records (1850-2017) of 68 species in a flowering plant community in central North America and used a novel application of Bayesian quantile regression to estimate changes to flowering season length, altered richness and composition of co-flowering assemblages, and whether phenological shifts exhibit seasonal trends. Across the past century, phenological shifts increased species' flowering durations by 11.5 d on average, which resulted in 94% of species experiencing greater flowering overlap at the community level. Increases to co-flowering were particularly pronounced in autumn, driven by a greater tendency of late season species to shift the ending of flowering later and to increase flowering duration. Our results demonstrate that species-level phenological shifts can result in considerable phenological reassembly and highlight changes to flowering duration as a prominent, yet underappreciated, effect of climate change. The emergence of an autumn co-flowering mode emphasizes that these effects may be season-dependent |
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Beschreibung: | Date Completed 22.08.2024 Date Revised 22.08.2024 published: Print-Electronic Citation Status MEDLINE |
ISSN: | 1469-8137 |
DOI: | 10.1111/nph.19994 |