Climate change increases flowering duration, driving phenological reassembly and elevated co-flowering richness

© 2024 The Author(s). New Phytologist © 2024 New Phytologist Foundation.

Bibliographische Detailangaben
Veröffentlicht in:The New phytologist. - 1979. - 243(2024), 6 vom: 24. Aug., Seite 2486-2500
1. Verfasser: Austin, Matthew W (VerfasserIn)
Weitere Verfasser: Smith, Adam B, Olsen, Kenneth M, Hoch, Peter C, Krakos, Kyra N, Schmocker, Stefani P, Miller-Struttmann, Nicole E
Format: Online-Aufsatz
Sprache:English
Veröffentlicht: 2024
Zugriff auf das übergeordnete Werk:The New phytologist
Schlagworte:Journal Article co‐flowering flowering duration flowering synchrony global change growing season phenological shift species interactions temporal species assemblage
Beschreibung
Zusammenfassung:© 2024 The Author(s). New Phytologist © 2024 New Phytologist Foundation.
Changes to flowering phenology are a key response of plants to climate change. However, we know little about how these changes alter temporal patterns of reproductive overlap (i.e. phenological reassembly). We combined long-term field (1937-2012) and herbarium records (1850-2017) of 68 species in a flowering plant community in central North America and used a novel application of Bayesian quantile regression to estimate changes to flowering season length, altered richness and composition of co-flowering assemblages, and whether phenological shifts exhibit seasonal trends. Across the past century, phenological shifts increased species' flowering durations by 11.5 d on average, which resulted in 94% of species experiencing greater flowering overlap at the community level. Increases to co-flowering were particularly pronounced in autumn, driven by a greater tendency of late season species to shift the ending of flowering later and to increase flowering duration. Our results demonstrate that species-level phenological shifts can result in considerable phenological reassembly and highlight changes to flowering duration as a prominent, yet underappreciated, effect of climate change. The emergence of an autumn co-flowering mode emphasizes that these effects may be season-dependent
Beschreibung:Date Completed 22.08.2024
Date Revised 22.08.2024
published: Print-Electronic
Citation Status MEDLINE
ISSN:1469-8137
DOI:10.1111/nph.19994