The impact of aragonite saturation variability on shelled pteropods : An attribution study in the California Current System

© 2024 The Author(s). Global Change Biology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

Bibliographische Detailangaben
Veröffentlicht in:Global change biology. - 1999. - 30(2024), 6 vom: 17. Juni, Seite e17345
1. Verfasser: Hofmann Elizondo, Urs (VerfasserIn)
Weitere Verfasser: Vogt, Meike, Bednaršek, Nina, Münnich, Matthias, Gruber, Nicolas
Format: Online-Aufsatz
Sprache:English
Veröffentlicht: 2024
Zugriff auf das übergeordnete Werk:Global change biology
Schlagworte:Journal Article California Current System attribution extreme events individual‐based modelling ocean acidification shelled pteropods Calcium Carbonate H0G9379FGK
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520 |a Observations from the California Current System (CalCS) indicate that the long-term trend in ocean acidification (OA) and the naturally occurring corrosive conditions for the CaCO3 mineral aragonite (saturation state Ω < 1) have a damaging effect on shelled pteropods, a keystone group of calcifying organisms in the CalCS. Concern is heightened by recent findings suggesting that shell formation and developmental progress are already impacted when Ω falls below 1.5. Here, we quantify the impact of low Ω conditions on pteropods using an individual-based model (IBM) with life-stage-specific mortality, growth, and behavior in a high-resolution regional hindcast simulation of the CalCS between 1984 and 2019. Special attention is paid to attributing this impact to different processes that lead to such low Ω conditions, namely natural variability, long-term trend, and extreme events. We find that much of the observed damage in the CalCS, and specifically >70% of the shell CaCO3 loss, is due to the pteropods' exposure to naturally occurring low Ω conditions as a result of their diel vertical migration (DVM). Over the hindcast period, their exposure to damaging waters (Ω < 1.5) increases from 9% to 49%, doubling their shell CaCO3 loss, and increasing their mortality by ~40%. Most of this increased exposure is due to the shoaling of low Ω waters driven by the long-term trend in OA. Extreme OA events amplify this increase by ~40%. Our approach can quantify the health of pteropod populations under shifting environmental conditions, and attribute changes in fitness or population structure to changes in the stressor landscape across hierarchical time scales 
650 4 |a Journal Article 
650 4 |a California Current System 
650 4 |a attribution 
650 4 |a extreme events 
650 4 |a individual‐based modelling 
650 4 |a ocean acidification 
650 4 |a shelled pteropods 
650 7 |a Calcium Carbonate  |2 NLM 
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700 1 |a Vogt, Meike  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Bednaršek, Nina  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Münnich, Matthias  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Gruber, Nicolas  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
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773 1 8 |g volume:30  |g year:2024  |g number:6  |g day:17  |g month:06  |g pages:e17345 
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