The heterogeneity effect of surveillance intervals on progression free survival

© 2022 Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis Group.

Bibliographische Detailangaben
Veröffentlicht in:Journal of applied statistics. - 1991. - 51(2024), 4 vom: 01., Seite 646-663
1. Verfasser: Zhong, Zihang (VerfasserIn)
Weitere Verfasser: Yang, Min, Ni, Senmiao, Cai, Lixin, Wu, Jingwei, Bai, Jianling, Yu, Hao
Format: Online-Aufsatz
Sprache:English
Veröffentlicht: 2024
Zugriff auf das übergeordnete Werk:Journal of applied statistics
Schlagworte:Journal Article Progression-free survival cancer clinical trial false positive rate power surveillance interval
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520 |a Progression-free survival (PFS) is an increasingly important surrogate endpoint in cancer clinical trials. However, the true time of progression is typically unknown if the evaluation of progression status is only scheduled at given surveillance intervals. In addition, comparison between treatment arms under different surveillance schema is not uncommon. Our aim is to explore whether the heterogeneity of the surveillance intervals may interfere with the validity of the conclusion of efficacy based on PFS, and the extent to which the variation would bias the results. We conduct comprehensive simulation studies to explore the aforementioned goals in a two-arm randomized control trial. We introduce three steps to simulate survival data with predefined surveillance intervals under different censoring rate considerations. We report the estimated hazard ratios and examine false positive rate, power and bias under different surveillance intervals, given different baseline median PFS, hazard ratio and censoring rate settings. Results show that larger heterogeneous lengths of surveillance intervals lead to higher false positive rate and overestimate the power, and the effect of the heterogeneous surveillance intervals may depend upon both the life expectancy of the tumor prognoses and the censoring proportion of the survival data. We also demonstrate such heterogeneity effect of surveillance intervals on PFS in a phase III metastatic colorectal cancer trial. In our opinions, adherence to consistent surveillance intervals should be favored in designing the comparative trials. Otherwise, it needs to be appropriately taken into account when analyzing data 
650 4 |a Journal Article 
650 4 |a Progression-free survival 
650 4 |a cancer clinical trial 
650 4 |a false positive rate 
650 4 |a power 
650 4 |a surveillance interval 
700 1 |a Yang, Min  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Ni, Senmiao  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Cai, Lixin  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Wu, Jingwei  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Bai, Jianling  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Yu, Hao  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
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