Short-term resilience to climate-induced temperature increases for equatorial sea turtle populations

© 2023 The Authors. Global Change Biology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

Bibliographische Detailangaben
Veröffentlicht in:Global change biology. - 1999. - 29(2023), 23 vom: 05. Dez., Seite 6546-6557
1. Verfasser: Staines, Melissa N (VerfasserIn)
Weitere Verfasser: Versace, Hayley, Laloë, Jacques-Olivier, Smith, Caitlin E, Madden Hof, Christine A, Booth, David T, Tibbetts, Ian R, Hays, Graeme C
Format: Online-Aufsatz
Sprache:English
Veröffentlicht: 2023
Zugriff auf das übergeordnete Werk:Global change biology
Schlagworte:Journal Article AT ENSO climate modelling endangered species forecast marine turtles precipitation Sand
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520 |a Projection models are being increasingly used to manage threatened taxa by estimating their responses to climate change. Sea turtles are particularly susceptible to climate change as they have temperature-dependent sex determination and increased sand temperatures on nesting beaches could result in the 'feminisation' of hatchling sex ratios for some populations. This study modelled likely long-term trends in sand temperatures and hatchling sex ratios at an equatorial nesting site for endangered green turtles (Chelonia mydas) and critically endangered hawksbill turtles (Eretmochelys imbricata). A total of 1078 days of sand temperature data were collected from 28 logger deployments at nest depth between 2018 and 2022 in Papua New Guinea (PNG). Long-term trends in sand temperature were generated from a model using air temperature as an environmental proxy. The influence of rainfall and seasonal variation on sand temperature was also investigated. Between 1960 and 2019, we estimated that sand temperature increased by ~0.6°C and the average hatchling sex ratio was relatively balanced (46.2% female, SD = 10.7). No trends were observed in historical rainfall anomalies and projections indicated no further changes to rainfall until 2100. Therefore, the sex ratio models were unlikely to be influenced by changing rainfall patterns. A relatively balanced sex ratio such as this is starkly different to the extremely female-skewed hatchling sex ratio (>99% female) reported for another Coral Sea nesting site, Raine Island (~850 km West). This PNG nesting site is likely rare in the global context, as it is less threatened by climate-induced feminisation. Although there is no current need for 'cooling' interventions, the mean projected sex ratios for 2020-2100 were estimated 76%-87% female, so future interventions may be required to increase male production. Our use of long-term sand temperature and rainfall trends has advanced our understanding of climate change impacts on sea turtles 
650 4 |a Journal Article 
650 4 |a AT 
650 4 |a ENSO 
650 4 |a climate modelling 
650 4 |a endangered species 
650 4 |a forecast 
650 4 |a marine turtles 
650 4 |a precipitation 
650 7 |a Sand  |2 NLM 
700 1 |a Versace, Hayley  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Laloë, Jacques-Olivier  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Smith, Caitlin E  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Madden Hof, Christine A  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Booth, David T  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Tibbetts, Ian R  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Hays, Graeme C  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
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773 1 8 |g volume:29  |g year:2023  |g number:23  |g day:05  |g month:12  |g pages:6546-6557 
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