Time fused coefficient SIR model with application to COVID-19 epidemic in the United States
© 2021 Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis Group.
| Veröffentlicht in: | Journal of applied statistics. - 1991. - 50(2023), 11-12 vom: 26., Seite 2373-2387 |
|---|---|
| 1. Verfasser: | |
| Weitere Verfasser: | , , , |
| Format: | Online-Aufsatz |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
2023
|
| Zugriff auf das übergeordnete Werk: | Journal of applied statistics |
| Schlagworte: | Journal Article 62P10 MCMC Time fusion homogeneity pursuit infectious diseases shrinkage prior |
| Zusammenfassung: | © 2021 Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis Group. In this paper, we propose a Susceptible-Infected-Removal (SIR) model with time fused coefficients. In particular, our proposed model discovers the underlying time homogeneity pattern for the SIR model's transmission rate and removal rate via Bayesian shrinkage priors. MCMC sampling for the proposed method is facilitated by the nimble package in R. Extensive simulation studies are carried out to examine the empirical performance of the proposed methods. We further apply the proposed methodology to analyze different levels of COVID-19 data in the United States |
|---|---|
| Beschreibung: | Date Revised 22.09.2024 published: Electronic-eCollection Citation Status PubMed-not-MEDLINE |
| ISSN: | 0266-4763 |
| DOI: | 10.1080/02664763.2021.1936467 |