Deep learning based hybrid prediction model for predicting the spread of COVID-19 in the world's most populous countries

© 2023 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

Bibliographische Detailangaben
Veröffentlicht in:Expert systems with applications. - 1999. - 231(2023) vom: 30. Nov., Seite 120769
1. Verfasser: Utku, Anil (VerfasserIn)
Format: Online-Aufsatz
Sprache:English
Veröffentlicht: 2023
Zugriff auf das übergeordnete Werk:Expert systems with applications
Schlagworte:Journal Article CNN COVID-19 Cross-country spread Deep learning GRU Machine learning
LEADER 01000caa a22002652 4500
001 NLM358358280
003 DE-627
005 20240919232145.0
007 cr uuu---uuuuu
008 231226s2023 xx |||||o 00| ||eng c
024 7 |a 10.1016/j.eswa.2023.120769  |2 doi 
028 5 2 |a pubmed24n1539.xml 
035 |a (DE-627)NLM358358280 
035 |a (NLM)37334273 
040 |a DE-627  |b ger  |c DE-627  |e rakwb 
041 |a eng 
100 1 |a Utku, Anil  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
245 1 0 |a Deep learning based hybrid prediction model for predicting the spread of COVID-19 in the world's most populous countries 
264 1 |c 2023 
336 |a Text  |b txt  |2 rdacontent 
337 |a ƒaComputermedien  |b c  |2 rdamedia 
338 |a ƒa Online-Ressource  |b cr  |2 rdacarrier 
500 |a Date Revised 19.09.2024 
500 |a published: Print-Electronic 
500 |a Citation Status PubMed-not-MEDLINE 
520 |a © 2023 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. 
520 |a COVID-19 has a disease and health phenomenon and has sociological and economic adverse effects. Accurate prediction of the spread of the epidemic will help in the planning of health management and the development of economic and sociological action plans. In the literature, there are many studies to analyse and predict the spread of COVID-19 in cities and countries. However, there is no study to predict and analyse the cross-country spread in the world's most populous countries. In this study, it was aimed to predict the spread of the COVID-19 epidemic. The motivation of this study is to reduce the workload of health workers, take preventive measures and optimize health processes by predicting the spread of the COVID-19 epidemic. A hybrid deep learning model was developed to predict and analyse COVID-19 cross-country spread and a case study was carried out for the world's most populous countries. The developed model was tested extensively using RMSE, MAE and R2. The experimental results showed that the developed model was more successful in predicting and analysis of COVID-19 cross-country spread in the world's most populous countries than LR, RF, SVM, MLP, CNN, GRU, LSTM and base CNN-GRU. In the developed model, CNN performs convolution and pooling operations to extract spatial features from the input data. GRU provides learning of long-term and non-linear relationships inferred by CNN. The developed hybrid model was more successful than the other models compared, as it enabled the effective features of the CNN and GRU models to be used together. The prediction and analysis of the cross-country spread of COVID-19 in the world's most populated countries can be presented as a novelty of this study 
650 4 |a Journal Article 
650 4 |a CNN 
650 4 |a COVID-19 
650 4 |a Cross-country spread 
650 4 |a Deep learning 
650 4 |a GRU 
650 4 |a Machine learning 
773 0 8 |i Enthalten in  |t Expert systems with applications  |d 1999  |g 231(2023) vom: 30. Nov., Seite 120769  |w (DE-627)NLM098196782  |x 0957-4174  |7 nnns 
773 1 8 |g volume:231  |g year:2023  |g day:30  |g month:11  |g pages:120769 
856 4 0 |u http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2023.120769  |3 Volltext 
912 |a GBV_USEFLAG_A 
912 |a SYSFLAG_A 
912 |a GBV_NLM 
912 |a GBV_ILN_350 
951 |a AR 
952 |d 231  |j 2023  |b 30  |c 11  |h 120769