Protected areas not likely to serve as steppingstones for species undergoing climate-induced range shifts

Published 2023. This article is a U.S. Government work and is in the public domain in the USA.

Bibliographische Detailangaben
Veröffentlicht in:Global change biology. - 1999. - 29(2023), 10 vom: 23. Mai, Seite 2681-2696
1. Verfasser: Parks, Sean A (VerfasserIn)
Weitere Verfasser: Holsinger, Lisa M, Abatzoglou, John T, Littlefield, Caitlin E, Zeller, Katherine A
Format: Online-Aufsatz
Sprache:English
Veröffentlicht: 2023
Zugriff auf das übergeordnete Werk:Global change biology
Schlagworte:Journal Article climate change climate change vulnerability climate connectivity climate connectivity failure climate-wise connectivity protected areas species range shifts
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520 |a Published 2023. This article is a U.S. Government work and is in the public domain in the USA. 
520 |a Species across the planet are shifting their ranges to track suitable climate conditions in response to climate change. Given that protected areas have higher quality habitat and often harbor higher levels of biodiversity compared to unprotected lands, it is often assumed that protected areas can serve as steppingstones for species undergoing climate-induced range shifts. However, there are several factors that may impede successful range shifts among protected areas, including the distance that must be traveled, unfavorable human land uses and climate conditions along potential movement routes, and lack of analogous climates. Through a species-agnostic lens, we evaluate these factors across the global terrestrial protected area network as measures of climate connectivity, which is defined as the ability of a landscape to facilitate or impede climate-induced movement. We found that over half of protected land area and two-thirds of the number of protected units across the globe are at risk of climate connectivity failure, casting doubt on whether many species can successfully undergo climate-induced range shifts among protected areas. Consequently, protected areas are unlikely to serve as steppingstones for a large number of species under a warming climate. As species disappear from protected areas without commensurate immigration of species suited to the emerging climate (due to climate connectivity failure), many protected areas may be left with a depauperate suite of species under climate change. Our findings are highly relevant given recent pledges to conserve 30% of the planet by 2030 (30 × 30), underscore the need for innovative land management strategies that allow for species range shifts, and suggest that assisted colonization may be necessary to promote species that are adapted to the emerging climate 
650 4 |a Journal Article 
650 4 |a climate change 
650 4 |a climate change vulnerability 
650 4 |a climate connectivity 
650 4 |a climate connectivity failure 
650 4 |a climate-wise connectivity 
650 4 |a protected areas 
650 4 |a species range shifts 
700 1 |a Holsinger, Lisa M  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Abatzoglou, John T  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Littlefield, Caitlin E  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Zeller, Katherine A  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
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773 1 8 |g volume:29  |g year:2023  |g number:10  |g day:23  |g month:05  |g pages:2681-2696 
856 4 0 |u http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/gcb.16629  |3 Volltext 
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