Modeling multivariate cyber risks : deep learning dating extreme value theory

© 2021 Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis Group.

Bibliographische Detailangaben
Veröffentlicht in:Journal of applied statistics. - 1991. - 50(2023), 3 vom: 23., Seite 610-630
1. Verfasser: Zhang Wu, Mingyue (VerfasserIn)
Weitere Verfasser: Luo, Jinzhu, Fang, Xing, Xu, Maochao, Zhao, Peng
Format: Online-Aufsatz
Sprache:English
Veröffentlicht: 2023
Zugriff auf das übergeordnete Werk:Journal of applied statistics
Schlagworte:Journal Article Cyber attacks GPD LSTM heavy tail high-dimensional dependence
Beschreibung
Zusammenfassung:© 2021 Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis Group.
Modeling cyber risks has been an important but challenging task in the domain of cyber security, which is mainly caused by the high dimensionality and heavy tails of risk patterns. Those obstacles have hindered the development of statistical modeling of the multivariate cyber risks. In this work, we propose a novel approach for modeling the multivariate cyber risks which relies on the deep learning and extreme value theory. The proposed model not only enjoys the high accurate point predictions via deep learning but also can provide the satisfactory high quantile predictions via extreme value theory. Both the simulation and empirical studies show that the proposed approach can model the multivariate cyber risks very well and provide satisfactory prediction performances
Beschreibung:Date Revised 24.02.2023
published: Electronic-eCollection
Citation Status PubMed-not-MEDLINE
ISSN:0266-4763
DOI:10.1080/02664763.2021.1936468