Global diversity patterns of larger benthic foraminifera under future climate change

© 2022 The Authors. Global Change Biology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

Bibliographische Detailangaben
Veröffentlicht in:Global change biology. - 1999. - 29(2023), 4 vom: 16. Feb., Seite 969-981
1. Verfasser: Förderer, Esther-Meena (VerfasserIn)
Weitere Verfasser: Rödder, Dennis, Langer, Martin R
Format: Online-Aufsatz
Sprache:English
Veröffentlicht: 2023
Zugriff auf das übergeordnete Werk:Global change biology
Schlagworte:Review Journal Article Coral Triangle climate change coral reefs global warming larger benthic foraminifera marine biodiversity species distribution modeling
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245 1 0 |a Global diversity patterns of larger benthic foraminifera under future climate change 
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520 |a © 2022 The Authors. Global Change Biology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd. 
520 |a Global warming threatens the viability of tropical coral reefs and associated marine calcifiers, including symbiont-bearing larger benthic foraminifera (LBF). The impacts of current climate change on LBF are debated because they were particularly diverse and abundant during past warm periods. Studies on the responses of selected LBF species to changing environmental conditions reveal varying results. Based on a comprehensive review of the scientific literature on LBF species occurrences, we applied species distribution modeling using Maxent to estimate present-day and future species richness patterns on a global scale for the time periods 2040-2050 and 2090-2100. For our future projections, we focus on Representative Concentration Pathway 6.0 from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, which projects mean surface temperature changes of +2.2°C by the year 2100. Our results suggest that species richness in the Central Indo-Pacific is two to three times higher than in the Bahamian ecoregion, which we have identified as the present-day center of LBF diversity in the Atlantic. Our future predictions project a dramatic temperature-driven decline in low-latitude species richness and an increasing widening bimodal latitudinal pattern of species diversity. While the central Indo-Pacific, now the stronghold of LBF diversity, is expected to be most pushed outside of the currently realized niches of most species, refugia may be largely preserved in the Atlantic. LBF species will face large-scale non-analogous climatic conditions compared to currently realized climate space in the near future, as reflected in the extensive areas of extrapolation, particularly in the Indo-Pacific. Our study supports hypotheses that species richness and biogeographic patterns of LBF will fundamentally change under future climate conditions, possibly initiating a faunal turnover by the late 21st century 
650 4 |a Review 
650 4 |a Journal Article 
650 4 |a Coral Triangle 
650 4 |a climate change 
650 4 |a coral reefs 
650 4 |a global warming 
650 4 |a larger benthic foraminifera 
650 4 |a marine biodiversity 
650 4 |a species distribution modeling 
700 1 |a Rödder, Dennis  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Langer, Martin R  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
773 0 8 |i Enthalten in  |t Global change biology  |d 1999  |g 29(2023), 4 vom: 16. Feb., Seite 969-981  |w (DE-627)NLM098239996  |x 1365-2486  |7 nnns 
773 1 8 |g volume:29  |g year:2023  |g number:4  |g day:16  |g month:02  |g pages:969-981 
856 4 0 |u http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/gcb.16535  |3 Volltext 
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