Showcasing MESMER-X : Spatially Resolved Emulation of Annual Maximum Temperatures of Earth System Models

© 2022. The Authors.

Bibliographische Detailangaben
Veröffentlicht in:Geophysical research letters. - 1984. - 49(2022), 17 vom: 16. Sept., Seite e2022GL099012
1. Verfasser: Quilcaille, Y (VerfasserIn)
Weitere Verfasser: Gudmundsson, L, Beusch, L, Hauser, M, Seneviratne, S I
Format: Online-Aufsatz
Sprache:English
Veröffentlicht: 2022
Zugriff auf das übergeordnete Werk:Geophysical research letters
Schlagworte:Journal Article climate change climate extremes earth system emulation modeling scenarios
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520 |a Emulators of Earth System Models (ESMs) are complementary to ESMs by providing climate information at lower computational costs. Thus far, the emulation of spatially resolved climate extremes has only received limited attention, even though extreme events are one of the most impactful aspects of climate change. Here, we propose a method for the emulation of local annual maximum temperatures, with a focus on reproducing essential statistical properties such as correlations in space and time. We test different emulator configurations and find that driving the emulations with global mean surface temperature offers an optimal compromise between model complexity and performance. We show that the emulations can mimic the temporal evolution and spatial patterns of the underlying climate model simulations and are able to reproduce their natural variability. The general design and the good performance for annual maximum temperatures suggest that the proposed methodology can be applied to other climate extremes 
650 4 |a Journal Article 
650 4 |a climate change 
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650 4 |a earth system 
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700 1 |a Gudmundsson, L  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Beusch, L  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Hauser, M  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Seneviratne, S I  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
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