Modified SIQR model for the COVID-19 outbreak in several countries

© 2022 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

Bibliographische Detailangaben
Veröffentlicht in:Mathematical methods in the applied sciences. - 1998. - (2022) vom: 17. Jan.
1. Verfasser: Pinto, Carla M A (VerfasserIn)
Weitere Verfasser: Tenreiro Machado, J A, Burgos-Simón, Clara
Format: Online-Aufsatz
Sprache:English
Veröffentlicht: 2022
Zugriff auf das übergeordnete Werk:Mathematical methods in the applied sciences
Schlagworte:Journal Article SARS‐CoV‐2 epidemiology mSIQR model real data fitting
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520 |a In this paper, we propose a modified Susceptible-Infected-Quarantine-Recovered (mSIQR) model, for the COVID-19 pandemic. We start by proving the well-posedness of the model and then compute its reproduction number and the corresponding sensitivity indices. We discuss the values of these indices for epidemiological relevant parameters, namely, the contact rate, the proportion of unknown infectious, and the recovering rate. The mSIQR model is simulated, and the outputs are fit to COVID-19 pandemic data from several countries, including France, US, UK, and Portugal. We discuss the epidemiological relevance of the results and provide insights on future patterns, subjected to health policies 
650 4 |a Journal Article 
650 4 |a SARS‐CoV‐2 
650 4 |a epidemiology 
650 4 |a mSIQR model 
650 4 |a real data fitting 
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700 1 |a Burgos-Simón, Clara  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
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