Impact of multiple small and persistent threats on extinction risk

© 2022 The Authors. Conservation Biology published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of Society for Conservation Biology.

Bibliographische Detailangaben
Veröffentlicht in:Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology. - 1999. - 36(2022), 5 vom: 04. Okt., Seite e13901
1. Verfasser: Kimmel, Kaitlin (VerfasserIn)
Weitere Verfasser: Clark, Michael, Tilman, David
Format: Online-Aufsatz
Sprache:English
Veröffentlicht: 2022
Zugriff auf das übergeordnete Werk:Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology
Schlagworte:Journal Article Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't concurrent extinction drivers efectos sinérgicos extinction theory impulsores de la extinción concurrente long-term extinction probability marco probabilístico probabilidad de extinción a largo plazo probabilistic framework mehr... synergistic effects teoría de la extinción
LEADER 01000naa a22002652 4500
001 NLM337435588
003 DE-627
005 20231225234412.0
007 cr uuu---uuuuu
008 231225s2022 xx |||||o 00| ||eng c
024 7 |a 10.1111/cobi.13901  |2 doi 
028 5 2 |a pubmed24n1124.xml 
035 |a (DE-627)NLM337435588 
035 |a (NLM)35212024 
040 |a DE-627  |b ger  |c DE-627  |e rakwb 
041 |a eng 
100 1 |a Kimmel, Kaitlin  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
245 1 0 |a Impact of multiple small and persistent threats on extinction risk 
264 1 |c 2022 
336 |a Text  |b txt  |2 rdacontent 
337 |a ƒaComputermedien  |b c  |2 rdamedia 
338 |a ƒa Online-Ressource  |b cr  |2 rdacarrier 
500 |a Date Completed 03.10.2022 
500 |a Date Revised 30.12.2022 
500 |a published: Print-Electronic 
500 |a Citation Status MEDLINE 
520 |a © 2022 The Authors. Conservation Biology published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of Society for Conservation Biology. 
520 |a Many species may face multiple distinct and persistent drivers of extinction risk, yet theoretical and empirical studies tend to focus on the single largest driver. This means that existing approaches potentially underestimate and mischaracterize future risks to biodiversity. We synthesized existing knowledge on how multiple drivers of extinction can interact to influence a species' overall extinction probability in a probabilistic model of extinction risk that incorporated the impacts of multiple drivers of extinction risk, their interactions, and their accumulative effects through time. We then used this model framework to explore how different threats, interactions between them, and time trends may affect a species' overall extinction probability. Multiple small threats together had potential to pose a large cumulative extinction risk; for example, 10 individual threats posed a 1% extinction risk each and cumulatively posed a 9.7% total extinction risk. Interactions among drivers resulted in escalated risk in some cases, and persistent threats with a small (1%) extinction risk each decade ultimately posed large extinction risk over 100 (9.6% total extinction risk) to 200 years (18.2% total extinction risk). By estimating long-term extinction risk posed by several different factors and their interactions, this approach provides a framework to identify drivers of extinction risk that could be proactively targeted to help prevent species currently of least concern from becoming threatened with extinction 
650 4 |a Journal Article 
650 4 |a Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't 
650 4 |a concurrent extinction drivers 
650 4 |a efectos sinérgicos 
650 4 |a extinction theory 
650 4 |a impulsores de la extinción concurrente 
650 4 |a long-term extinction probability 
650 4 |a marco probabilístico 
650 4 |a probabilidad de extinción a largo plazo 
650 4 |a probabilistic framework 
650 4 |a synergistic effects 
650 4 |a teoría de la extinción 
700 1 |a Clark, Michael  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Tilman, David  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
773 0 8 |i Enthalten in  |t Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology  |d 1999  |g 36(2022), 5 vom: 04. Okt., Seite e13901  |w (DE-627)NLM098176803  |x 1523-1739  |7 nnns 
773 1 8 |g volume:36  |g year:2022  |g number:5  |g day:04  |g month:10  |g pages:e13901 
856 4 0 |u http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/cobi.13901  |3 Volltext 
912 |a GBV_USEFLAG_A 
912 |a SYSFLAG_A 
912 |a GBV_NLM 
912 |a GBV_ILN_350 
951 |a AR 
952 |d 36  |j 2022  |e 5  |b 04  |c 10  |h e13901