Satellite observations document trends consistent with a boreal forest biome shift

© 2022 The Authors. Global Change Biology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

Bibliographische Detailangaben
Veröffentlicht in:Global change biology. - 1999. - 28(2022), 10 vom: 15. Mai, Seite 3275-3292
1. Verfasser: Berner, Logan T (VerfasserIn)
Weitere Verfasser: Goetz, Scott J
Format: Online-Aufsatz
Sprache:English
Veröffentlicht: 2022
Zugriff auf das übergeordnete Werk:Global change biology
Schlagworte:Journal Article Arctic Boreal Vulnerability Experiment (ABoVE) Landsat browning climate change ecotone forest productivity greening tree mortality tree recruitment warming
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245 1 0 |a Satellite observations document trends consistent with a boreal forest biome shift 
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500 |a CommentIn: Glob Chang Biol. 2022 Sep;28(18):e9-e10. - PMID 35778865 
500 |a Citation Status MEDLINE 
520 |a © 2022 The Authors. Global Change Biology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd. 
520 |a The boreal forest biome is a major component of Earth's biosphere and climate system that is projected to shift northward due to continued climate change over the coming century. Indicators of a biome shift will likely first be evident along the climatic margins of the boreal forest and include changes in vegetation productivity, mortality, and recruitment, as well as overall vegetation greenness. However, the extent to which a biome shift is already underway remains unclear because of the local nature of most field studies, sparsity of systematic ground-based ecological monitoring, and reliance on coarse resolution satellite observations. Here, we evaluated early indicators of a boreal forest biome shift using four decades of moderate resolution (30 m) satellite observations and biogeoclimatic spatial datasets. Specifically, we quantified interannual trends in annual maximum vegetation greenness using an ensemble of vegetation indices derived from Landsat observations at 100,000 sample sites in areas without signs of recent disturbance. We found vegetation greenness increased (greened) at 38 [29, 42] % and 22 [15, 26] % of sample sites from 1985 to 2019 and 2000 to 2019, whereas vegetation greenness decreased (browned) at 13 [9, 15] % and 15 [13, 19] % of sample sites during these respective periods [95% Monte Carlo confidence intervals]. Greening was thus 3.0 [2.6, 3.5] and 1.5 [0.8, 2.0] times more common than browning and primarily occurred in cold sparsely treed areas with high soil nitrogen and moderate summer warming. Conversely, browning primarily occurred in the climatically warmest margins of both the boreal forest biome and major forest types (e.g., evergreen conifer forests), especially in densely treed areas where summers became warmer and drier. These macroecological trends reflect underlying shifts in vegetation productivity, mortality, and recruitment that are consistent with early stages of a boreal biome shift 
650 4 |a Journal Article 
650 4 |a Arctic Boreal Vulnerability Experiment (ABoVE) 
650 4 |a Landsat 
650 4 |a browning 
650 4 |a climate change 
650 4 |a ecotone 
650 4 |a forest productivity 
650 4 |a greening 
650 4 |a tree mortality 
650 4 |a tree recruitment 
650 4 |a warming 
700 1 |a Goetz, Scott J  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
773 0 8 |i Enthalten in  |t Global change biology  |d 1999  |g 28(2022), 10 vom: 15. Mai, Seite 3275-3292  |w (DE-627)NLM098239996  |x 1365-2486  |7 nnns 
773 1 8 |g volume:28  |g year:2022  |g number:10  |g day:15  |g month:05  |g pages:3275-3292 
856 4 0 |u http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/gcb.16121  |3 Volltext 
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