Quantifying the probability of detection of wild ungulates with the Judas technique

© 2022 Society for Conservation Biology.

Bibliographische Detailangaben
Veröffentlicht in:Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology. - 1999. - 36(2022), 4 vom: 15. Aug., Seite e13898
1. Verfasser: Ramsey, David S L (VerfasserIn)
Weitere Verfasser: Campbell, Karl J, Lavoie, Christian, Macdonald, Norm, Morrison, Scott A
Format: Online-Aufsatz
Sprache:English
Veröffentlicht: 2022
Zugriff auf das übergeordnete Werk:Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology
Schlagworte:Journal Article biodiversity conservation conservación de la biodiversidad detection probability eradication erradicación planeación planning probabilidad de detección riesgo risk
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520 |a The Judas technique is often used in control or eradication of particular vertebrate pests. The technique exploits the tendency of individuals to form social groups. A radio collar is affixed to an individual and its subsequent monitoring facilitates the detection of other conspecifics. Efficacy of this technique would be improved if managers could estimate the probability that a Judas individual would detect conspecifics. To calculate this probability, we estimated association rates of Judas individuals with other Judas individuals, given the length of time the Judas has been deployed. We developed a simple model of space-use for individual Judas animals and constrained detection probabilities to those specific areas. We then combined estimates for individual Judas animals to infer the probability that a wild individual could be detected in an area of interest via Judas surveillance. We illustrated the method by using data from a feral goat eradication program on Isla Santiago, Galápagos, and a feral pig eradication program on Santa Cruz Island, California. Association probabilities declined as the proximity between individual areas of use of a Judas pair decreased. Unconditional probabilities of detection within individual areas of use averaged 0.09 per month for feral pigs and 0.11 per month for feral goats. Probabilities that eradication had been achieved, given no detections of wild conspecifics, and an uninformative prior probability of eradication were 0.79 (90% CI 0.22-0.99) for feral goats and 0.87 (90% CI 0.44-1.0) for feral pigs. We envisage several additions to the analyses used that could improve estimates of Judas detection probability. Analyses such as these can help managers increase the efficacy of eradication efforts, leading to more effective effects to restore native biodiversity 
650 4 |a Journal Article 
650 4 |a biodiversity conservation 
650 4 |a conservación de la biodiversidad 
650 4 |a detection probability 
650 4 |a eradication 
650 4 |a erradicación 
650 4 |a planeación 
650 4 |a planning 
650 4 |a probabilidad de detección 
650 4 |a riesgo 
650 4 |a risk 
700 1 |a Campbell, Karl J  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Lavoie, Christian  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Macdonald, Norm  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Morrison, Scott A  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
773 0 8 |i Enthalten in  |t Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology  |d 1999  |g 36(2022), 4 vom: 15. Aug., Seite e13898  |w (DE-627)NLM098176803  |x 1523-1739  |7 nnns 
773 1 8 |g volume:36  |g year:2022  |g number:4  |g day:15  |g month:08  |g pages:e13898 
856 4 0 |u http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/cobi.13898  |3 Volltext 
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