Pandemic coronavirus disease (Covid-19) : World effects analysis and prediction using machine-learning techniques

© 2021 John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

Bibliographische Detailangaben
Veröffentlicht in:Expert systems. - 1998. - 39(2022), 3 vom: 16. März, Seite e12714
1. Verfasser: Tiwari, Dimple (VerfasserIn)
Weitere Verfasser: Bhati, Bhoopesh Singh, Al-Turjman, Fadi, Nagpal, Bharti
Format: Online-Aufsatz
Sprache:English
Veröffentlicht: 2022
Zugriff auf das übergeordnete Werk:Expert systems
Schlagworte:Journal Article Covid‐19 Naïve Bayes artificial intelligence data analytics linear regression machine‐learning prediction support vector machine
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520 |a Pandemic novel Coronavirus (Covid-19) is an infectious disease that primarily spreads by droplets of nose discharge when sneezing and saliva from the mouth when coughing, that had first been reported in Wuhan, China in December 2019. Covid-19 became a global pandemic, which led to a harmful impact on the world. Many predictive models of Covid-19 are being proposed by academic researchers around the world to take the foremost decisions and enforce the appropriate control measures. Due to the lack of accurate Covid-19 records and uncertainty, the standard techniques are being failed to correctly predict the epidemic global effects. To address this issue, we present an Artificial Intelligence (AI)-based meta-analysis to predict the trend of epidemic Covid-19 over the world. The powerful machine learning algorithms namely Naïve Bayes, Support Vector Machine (SVM) and Linear Regression were applied on real time-series dataset, which holds the global record of confirmed, recovered, deaths and active cases of Covid-19 outbreak. Statistical analysis has also been conducted to present various facts regarding Covid-19 observed symptoms, a list of Top-20 Coronavirus affected countries and a number of coactive cases over the world. Among the three machine learning techniques investigated, Naïve Bayes produced promising results to predict Covid-19 future trends with less Mean Absolute Error (MAE) and Mean Squared Error (MSE). The less value of MAE and MSE strongly represent the effectiveness of the Naïve Bayes regression technique. Although, the global footprint of this pandemic is still uncertain. This study demonstrates the various trends and future growth of the global pandemic for a proactive response from the citizens and governments of countries. This paper sets the initial benchmark to demonstrate the capability of machine learning for outbreak prediction 
650 4 |a Journal Article 
650 4 |a Covid‐19 
650 4 |a Naïve Bayes 
650 4 |a artificial intelligence 
650 4 |a data analytics 
650 4 |a linear regression 
650 4 |a machine‐learning prediction 
650 4 |a support vector machine 
700 1 |a Bhati, Bhoopesh Singh  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Al-Turjman, Fadi  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Nagpal, Bharti  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
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773 1 8 |g volume:39  |g year:2022  |g number:3  |g day:16  |g month:03  |g pages:e12714 
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