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024 7 |a 10.1111/cobi.13681  |2 doi 
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041 |a eng 
100 1 |a Watts, Matthew  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
245 1 0 |a Software for prioritizing conservation actions based on probabilistic information 
264 1 |c 2021 
336 |a Text  |b txt  |2 rdacontent 
337 |a ƒaComputermedien  |b c  |2 rdamedia 
338 |a ƒa Online-Ressource  |b cr  |2 rdacarrier 
500 |a Date Completed 21.09.2021 
500 |a Date Revised 05.10.2024 
500 |a published: Print-Electronic 
500 |a Citation Status MEDLINE 
520 |a © 2020 Society for Conservation Biology. 
520 |a Marxan is the most common decision-support tool used to inform the design of protected-area systems. The original version of Marxan does not consider risk and uncertainty associated with threatening processes affecting protected areas, including uncertainty about the location and condition of species' populations and habitats now and in the future. We described and examined the functionality of a modified version of Marxan, Marxan with Probability. This software explicitly considers 4 types of uncertainty: probability that a feature exists in a particular place (estimated based on species distribution models or spatially explicit population models); probability that features in a site will be lost in the future due to a threatening process, such as climate change, natural catastrophes, and uncontrolled human interventions; probability that a feature will exist in the future due to natural successional processes, such as a fire or flood; and probability the feature exists but has been degraded by threatening processes, such as overfishing or pollution, and thus cannot contribute to conservation goals. We summarized the results of 5 studies that illustrate how each type of uncertainty can be used to inform protected area design. If there were uncertainty in species or habitat distribution, users could maximize the chance that these features were represented by including uncertainty using Marxan with Probability. Similarly, if threatening processes were considered, users minimized the chance that species or habitats were lost or degraded by using Marxan with Probability. Marxan with Probability opens up substantial new avenues for systematic conservation planning research and application by agencies 
650 4 |a Journal Article 
650 4 |a Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't 
650 4 |a Marxan 
650 4 |a Marxan 软件 
650 4 |a apoyo a decidir 
650 4 |a biodiversidad 
650 4 |a biodiversity 
650 4 |a cambio climático 
650 4 |a climate change 
650 4 |a decision support 
650 4 |a modelado de la distribución de especies 
650 4 |a optimización 
650 4 |a optimization 
650 4 |a priorización de la conservación espacial 
650 4 |a probabilidad 
650 4 |a probability 
650 4 |a protected areas 
650 4 |a reconocimiento simulado 
650 4 |a simulated annealing 
650 4 |a spatial conservation prioritization 
650 4 |a species distribution modeling 
650 4 |a áreas protegidas 
650 4 |a 优化 
650 4 |a 保护区 
650 4 |a 决策支持 
650 4 |a 概率 
650 4 |a 模拟退火法 
650 4 |a 气候变化 
650 4 |a 物种分布建模 
650 4 |a 生物多样性 
650 4 |a 空间优先保护 
700 1 |a Klein, Carissa J  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Tulloch, Vivitskaia J D  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Carvalho, Silvia B  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Possingham, Hugh P  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
773 0 8 |i Enthalten in  |t Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology  |d 1999  |g 35(2021), 4 vom: 27. Aug., Seite 1299-1308  |w (DE-627)NLM098176803  |x 1523-1739  |7 nnns 
773 1 8 |g volume:35  |g year:2021  |g number:4  |g day:27  |g month:08  |g pages:1299-1308 
856 4 0 |u http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/cobi.13681  |3 Volltext 
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952 |d 35  |j 2021  |e 4  |b 27  |c 08  |h 1299-1308