Building a better baseline to estimate 160 years of avian population change and create historically informed conservation targets

© 2020 Society for Conservation Biology.

Bibliographische Detailangaben
Veröffentlicht in:Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology. - 1999. - 35(2021), 4 vom: 28. Aug., Seite 1256-1267
1. Verfasser: Hallman, Tyler A (VerfasserIn)
Weitere Verfasser: Robinson, W Douglas, Curtis, Jenna R, Alverson, Edward R
Format: Online-Aufsatz
Sprache:English
Veröffentlicht: 2021
Zugriff auf das übergeordnete Werk:Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology
Schlagworte:Journal Article Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't Breeding Bird Survey Censo de Aves Reproductoras análisis retrospectivo backcasting cambio poblacional hindcasting population change reconstrucción de la vegetación mehr... vegetation reconstruction 《繁殖鸟类调查》 后报 植被重建 种群变化 预报
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245 1 0 |a Building a better baseline to estimate 160 years of avian population change and create historically informed conservation targets 
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500 |a Citation Status MEDLINE 
520 |a © 2020 Society for Conservation Biology. 
520 |a Globally, anthropogenic land-cover change has been dramatic over the last few centuries and is frequently invoked as a major cause of wildlife population declines. Baseline data currently used to assess population trends, however, began well after major changes to the landscape. In the United States and Canada, breeding bird population trends are assessed by the North American Breeding Bird Survey, which began in the 1960s. Estimates of distribution and abundance prior to major habitat alteration would add historical perspective to contemporary trends and allow for historically based conservation targets. We used a hindcasting framework to estimate change in distribution and abundance of 7 bird species in the Willamette Valley, Oregon (United States). After reconciling classification schemes of current and 1850s reconstructed land cover, we used multiscale species distribution models and hierarchical distance sampling models to predict spatially explicit densities in the modern and historical landscapes. We estimated that since the 1850s, White-breasted Nuthatch (Sitta carolinensis) and Western Meadowlark (Sturnella neglecta) populations, 2 species sensitive to fragmentation of oak woodlands and grasslands, declined by 93% and 97%, respectively. Five other species we estimated nearly stable or increasing populations, despite steep regional declines since the 1960s. Based on these estimates, we developed historically based conservation targets for amount of habitat, population, and density for each species. Hindcasted reconstructions provide historical perspective for assessing contemporary trends and allow for historically based conservation targets that can inform current management 
650 4 |a Journal Article 
650 4 |a Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't 
650 4 |a Breeding Bird Survey 
650 4 |a Censo de Aves Reproductoras 
650 4 |a análisis retrospectivo 
650 4 |a backcasting 
650 4 |a cambio poblacional 
650 4 |a hindcasting 
650 4 |a population change 
650 4 |a reconstrucción de la vegetación 
650 4 |a vegetation reconstruction 
650 4 |a 《繁殖鸟类调查》 
650 4 |a 后报 
650 4 |a 植被重建 
650 4 |a 种群变化 
650 4 |a 预报 
700 1 |a Robinson, W Douglas  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Curtis, Jenna R  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Alverson, Edward R  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
773 0 8 |i Enthalten in  |t Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology  |d 1999  |g 35(2021), 4 vom: 28. Aug., Seite 1256-1267  |w (DE-627)NLM098176803  |x 1523-1739  |7 nnns 
773 1 8 |g volume:35  |g year:2021  |g number:4  |g day:28  |g month:08  |g pages:1256-1267 
856 4 0 |u http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/cobi.13676  |3 Volltext 
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