Understanding and predicting forest mortality in the western United States using long-term forest inventory data and modeled hydraulic damage

© 2020 The Authors New Phytologist © 2020 New Phytologist Foundation.

Bibliographische Detailangaben
Veröffentlicht in:The New phytologist. - 1979. - 230(2021), 5 vom: 15. Juni, Seite 1896-1910
1. Verfasser: Venturas, Martin D (VerfasserIn)
Weitere Verfasser: Todd, Henry N, Trugman, Anna T, Anderegg, William R L
Format: Online-Aufsatz
Sprache:English
Veröffentlicht: 2021
Zugriff auf das übergeordnete Werk:The New phytologist
Schlagworte:Journal Article Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't Research Support, U.S. Gov't, Non-P.H.S. climate change drought stress forest inventory modeling mortality drivers percentage loss in hydraulic conductance trait plasticity tree mortality
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245 1 0 |a Understanding and predicting forest mortality in the western United States using long-term forest inventory data and modeled hydraulic damage 
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500 |a Date Completed 14.05.2021 
500 |a Date Revised 14.05.2021 
500 |a published: Print-Electronic 
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500 |a CommentIn: New Phytol. 2021 Jun;230(5):1685-1687. - PMID 33797779 
500 |a Citation Status MEDLINE 
520 |a © 2020 The Authors New Phytologist © 2020 New Phytologist Foundation. 
520 |a Global warming is expected to exacerbate the duration and intensity of droughts in the western United States, which may lead to increased tree mortality. A prevailing proximal mechanism of drought-induced tree mortality is hydraulic damage, but predicting tree mortality from hydraulic theory and climate data still remains a major scientific challenge. We used forest inventory data and a plant hydraulic model (HM) to address three questions: can we capture regional patterns of drought-induced tree mortality with HM-predicted damage thresholds; do HM metrics improve predictions of mortality across broad spatial areas; and what are the dominant controls of forest mortality when considering stand characteristics, climate metrics, and simulated hydraulic stress? We found that the amount of variance explained by models predicting mortality was limited (R2 median = 0.10, R2 range: 0.00-0.52). HM outputs, including hydraulic damage and carbon assimilation diagnostics, moderately improve mortality prediction across the western US compared with models using stand and climate predictors alone. Among factors considered, metrics of stand density and tree size tended to be some of the most critical factors explaining mortality, probably highlighting the important roles of structural overshoot, stand development, and biotic agent host selection and outbreaks in mortality patterns 
650 4 |a Journal Article 
650 4 |a Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't 
650 4 |a Research Support, U.S. Gov't, Non-P.H.S. 
650 4 |a climate change 
650 4 |a drought stress 
650 4 |a forest inventory 
650 4 |a modeling 
650 4 |a mortality drivers 
650 4 |a percentage loss in hydraulic conductance 
650 4 |a trait plasticity 
650 4 |a tree mortality 
700 1 |a Todd, Henry N  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Trugman, Anna T  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Anderegg, William R L  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
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773 1 8 |g volume:230  |g year:2021  |g number:5  |g day:15  |g month:06  |g pages:1896-1910 
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