Using the past to contextualize anthropogenic impacts on the present and future distribution of an endemic Caribbean mammal

© 2019 Society for Conservation Biology.

Bibliographische Detailangaben
Veröffentlicht in:Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology. - 1999. - 33(2019), 3 vom: 01. Juni, Seite 500-510
1. Verfasser: Gibson, L M (VerfasserIn)
Weitere Verfasser: Mychajliw, A M, Leon, Y, Rupp, E, Hadly, E A
Format: Online-Aufsatz
Sprache:English
Veröffentlicht: 2019
Zugriff auf das übergeordnete Werk:Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology
Schlagworte:Journal Article Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't Research Support, U.S. Gov't, Non-P.H.S. MaxEnt biogeografía biogeography cambio climático climate change distribución distribution mehr... especie amenazada isla island museos museums protected areas threatened species áreas protegidas
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520 |a Island species are difficult to conserve because they face the synergy of climate change, invasive species, deforestation, and increasing human population densities in areas where land mass is shrinking. The Caribbean island of Hispaniola presents particular challenges because of geopolitical complexities that span 2 countries and hinder coordinated management of species across the island. We employed species distribution modeling to evaluate the impacts of climatic change and anthropogenic activities on the distribution of an endemic mammal of conservation concern, the Hispaniolan solenodon (Solenodon paradoxus). We aggregated occurrence points for this poorly known species for the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) and the present (1975-2016) based on museum collections, online biodiversity databases, and new field surveys. We quantified degree of overlap between periods and scenarios with Schoener's D. Through a conservation paleobiology lens, we found that over time humans played an increasing role in shaping the distribution of S. paradoxus, thus, providing a foundation for developing conservation strategies on appropriate spatiotemporal scales. Human population density was the single most important predictor of S. paradoxus occurrence. Densities >166 people/km2 corresponded to a near-zero probability of occurrence. Models that accounted for climate but not anthropogenic variables falsely identified suitable habitat in Haiti, where on-the-ground surveys confirm habitat is unavailable. Climate-only models also significantly overestimated the potential for habitat connectivity between isolated populations. Our work highlights that alternative fates for S. paradoxus in the Anthropocene exist across the political border between the Dominican Republic and Haiti due to the fundamentally different economic and political realities of each country. Relationships in the fossil record confirm that Hispaniola's sociopolitical boundary is not biologically significant but instead represents one imposed on the island's fauna in the past 500 years by colonial activity. Our approach reveals how a paleontological perspective can contribute to concrete management insights 
650 4 |a Journal Article 
650 4 |a Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't 
650 4 |a Research Support, U.S. Gov't, Non-P.H.S. 
650 4 |a MaxEnt 
650 4 |a biogeografía 
650 4 |a biogeography 
650 4 |a cambio climático 
650 4 |a climate change 
650 4 |a distribución 
650 4 |a distribution 
650 4 |a especie amenazada 
650 4 |a isla 
650 4 |a island 
650 4 |a museos 
650 4 |a museums 
650 4 |a protected areas 
650 4 |a threatened species 
650 4 |a áreas protegidas 
700 1 |a Mychajliw, A M  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Leon, Y  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Rupp, E  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Hadly, E A  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
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