Simultaneous-count models to estimate abundance from counts of unmarked individuals with imperfect detection

© 2019 Society for Conservation Biology.

Bibliographische Detailangaben
Veröffentlicht in:Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology. - 1999. - 33(2019), 3 vom: 18. Juni, Seite 697-708
1. Verfasser: Ryan, Gerard Edward (VerfasserIn)
Weitere Verfasser: Nicholson, Emily, Eames, Jonathan C, Gray, Thomas N E, Loveridge, Robin, Mahood, Simon P, Sum, Phearun, McCarthy, Michael A
Format: Online-Aufsatz
Sprache:English
Veröffentlicht: 2019
Zugriff auf das übergeordnete Werk:Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology
Schlagworte:Journal Article Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't Bayesian Gyps N-mixture model N混合模型 Sarcogyps bayesiano buitre detectability mehr... detectable dinámica de poblaciones dynamics hierarchical model modelo de mezcla N modelo jerárquico monitoreo monitoring population vulture 兀鹫属 (Gyps) 层级模型 检测力 监测 秃鹫 种群动态 贝叶斯 黑兀鹫属 (Sarcogyps)
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100 1 |a Ryan, Gerard Edward  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
245 1 0 |a Simultaneous-count models to estimate abundance from counts of unmarked individuals with imperfect detection 
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520 |a We developed a method to estimate population abundance from simultaneous counts of unmarked individuals over multiple sites. We considered that at each sampling occasion, individuals in a population could be detected at 1 of the survey sites or remain undetected and used either multinomial or binomial simultaneous-count models to estimate abundance, the latter being equivalent to an N-mixture model with one site. We tested model performance with simulations over a range of detection probabilities, population sizes, growth rates, number of years, sampling occasions, and sites. We then applied our method to 3 critically endangered vulture species in Cambodia to demonstrate the real-world applicability of the model and to provide the first abundance estimates for these species in Cambodia. Our new approach works best when existing methods are expected to perform poorly (i.e., few sites and large variation in abundance among sites) and if individuals may move among sites between sampling occasions. The approach performed better when there were >8 sampling occasions and net probability of detection was high (>0.5). We believe our approach will be useful in particular for simultaneous surveys at aggregation sites, such as roosts. The method complements existing approaches for estimating abundance of unmarked individuals and is the first method designed specifically for simultaneous counts 
650 4 |a Journal Article 
650 4 |a Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't 
650 4 |a Bayesian 
650 4 |a Gyps 
650 4 |a N-mixture model 
650 4 |a N混合模型 
650 4 |a Sarcogyps 
650 4 |a bayesiano 
650 4 |a buitre 
650 4 |a detectability 
650 4 |a detectable 
650 4 |a dinámica de poblaciones 
650 4 |a dynamics 
650 4 |a hierarchical model 
650 4 |a modelo de mezcla N 
650 4 |a modelo jerárquico 
650 4 |a monitoreo 
650 4 |a monitoring 
650 4 |a population 
650 4 |a vulture 
650 4 |a 兀鹫属 (Gyps) 
650 4 |a 层级模型 
650 4 |a 检测力 
650 4 |a 监测 
650 4 |a 秃鹫 
650 4 |a 种群动态 
650 4 |a 贝叶斯 
650 4 |a 黑兀鹫属 (Sarcogyps) 
700 1 |a Nicholson, Emily  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Eames, Jonathan C  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Gray, Thomas N E  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Loveridge, Robin  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Mahood, Simon P  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Sum, Phearun  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
700 1 |a McCarthy, Michael A  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
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773 1 8 |g volume:33  |g year:2019  |g number:3  |g day:18  |g month:06  |g pages:697-708 
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