Resilience of tropical tree cover : The roles of climate, fire, and herbivory

© 2018 The Authors Global Change Biology Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

Bibliographische Detailangaben
Veröffentlicht in:Global change biology. - 1999. - 24(2018), 11 vom: 19. Nov., Seite 5096-5109
1. Verfasser: Staal, Arie (VerfasserIn)
Weitere Verfasser: van Nes, Egbert H, Hantson, Stijn, Holmgren, Milena, Dekker, Stefan C, Pueyo, Salvador, Xu, Chi, Scheffer, Marten
Format: Online-Aufsatz
Sprache:English
Veröffentlicht: 2018
Zugriff auf das übergeordnete Werk:Global change biology
Schlagworte:Journal Article Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't alternative stable states bistability forest grasslands livestock model regime shifts remote sensing mehr... tipping points wildfire
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520 |a Fires and herbivores shape tropical vegetation structure, but their effects on the stability of tree cover in different climates remain elusive. Here, we integrate empirical and theoretical approaches to determine the effects of climate on fire- and herbivore-driven forest-savanna shifts. We analyzed time series of remotely sensed tree cover and fire observations with estimates of herbivore pressure across the tropics to quantify the fire-tree cover and herbivore-tree cover feedbacks along climatic gradients. From these empirical results, we developed a spatially explicit, stochastic fire-vegetation model that accounts for herbivore pressure. We find emergent alternative stable states in tree cover with hysteresis across rainfall conditions. Whereas the herbivore-tree cover feedback can maintain low tree cover below 1,100 mm mean annual rainfall, the fire-tree cover feedback can maintain low tree cover at higher rainfall levels. Interestingly, the rainfall range where fire-driven alternative vegetation states can be found depends strongly on rainfall variability. Both higher seasonal and interannual variability in rainfall increase fire frequency, but only seasonality expands the distribution of fire-maintained savannas into wetter climates. The strength of the fire-tree cover feedback depends on the spatial configuration of tree cover: Landscapes with clustered low tree-cover areas are more susceptible to cross a tipping point of fire-driven forest loss than landscapes with scattered deforested patches. Our study shows how feedbacks involving fire, herbivores, and the spatial structure of tree cover explain the resilience of tree cover across climates 
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650 4 |a Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't 
650 4 |a alternative stable states 
650 4 |a bistability 
650 4 |a forest 
650 4 |a grasslands 
650 4 |a livestock 
650 4 |a model 
650 4 |a regime shifts 
650 4 |a remote sensing 
650 4 |a tipping points 
650 4 |a wildfire 
700 1 |a van Nes, Egbert H  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Hantson, Stijn  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Holmgren, Milena  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Dekker, Stefan C  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Pueyo, Salvador  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Xu, Chi  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Scheffer, Marten  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
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773 1 8 |g volume:24  |g year:2018  |g number:11  |g day:19  |g month:11  |g pages:5096-5109 
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