Continent-scale global change attribution in European birds - combining annual and decadal time scales

© 2015 John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

Détails bibliographiques
Publié dans:Global change biology. - 1999. - 22(2016), 2 vom: 13. Feb., Seite 530-43
Auteur principal: Jørgensen, Peter Søgaard (Auteur)
Autres auteurs: Böhning-Gaese, Katrin, Thorup, Kasper, Tøttrup, Anders P, Chylarecki, Przemysław, Jiguet, Frédéric, Lehikoinen, Aleksi, Noble, David G, Reif, Jiri, Schmid, Hans, van Turnhout, Chris, Burfield, Ian J, Foppen, Ruud, Voříšek, Petr, van Strien, Arco, Gregory, Richard D, Rahbek, Carsten
Format: Article en ligne
Langue:English
Publié: 2016
Accès à la collection:Global change biology
Sujets:Journal Article Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't citizen science climate change farmland birds global change attribution land-use change multiple temporal scales multiscale inference population time series
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500 |a Date Revised 30.12.2016 
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500 |a Citation Status MEDLINE 
520 |a © 2015 John Wiley & Sons Ltd. 
520 |a Species attributes are commonly used to infer impacts of environmental change on multiyear species trends, e.g. decadal changes in population size. However, by themselves attributes are of limited value in global change attribution since they do not measure the changing environment. A broader foundation for attributing species responses to global change may be achieved by complementing an attributes-based approach by one estimating the relationship between repeated measures of organismal and environmental changes over short time scales. To assess the benefit of this multiscale perspective, we investigate the recent impact of multiple environmental changes on European farmland birds, here focusing on climate change and land use change. We analyze more than 800 time series from 18 countries spanning the past two decades. Analysis of long-term population growth rates documents simultaneous responses that can be attributed to both climate change and land-use change, including long-term increases in populations of hot-dwelling species and declines in long-distance migrants and farmland specialists. In contrast, analysis of annual growth rates yield novel insights into the potential mechanisms driving long-term climate induced change. In particular, we find that birds are affected by winter, spring, and summer conditions depending on the distinct breeding phenology that corresponds to their migratory strategy. Birds in general benefit from higher temperatures or higher primary productivity early on or in the peak of the breeding season with the largest effect sizes observed in cooler parts of species' climatic ranges. Our results document the potential of combining time scales and integrating both species attributes and environmental variables for global change attribution. We suggest such an approach will be of general use when high-resolution time series are available in large-scale biodiversity surveys 
650 4 |a Journal Article 
650 4 |a Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't 
650 4 |a citizen science 
650 4 |a climate change 
650 4 |a farmland birds 
650 4 |a global change attribution 
650 4 |a land-use change 
650 4 |a multiple temporal scales 
650 4 |a multiscale inference 
650 4 |a population time series 
700 1 |a Böhning-Gaese, Katrin  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Thorup, Kasper  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Tøttrup, Anders P  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Chylarecki, Przemysław  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Jiguet, Frédéric  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Lehikoinen, Aleksi  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Noble, David G  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Reif, Jiri  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Schmid, Hans  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
700 1 |a van Turnhout, Chris  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Burfield, Ian J  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Foppen, Ruud  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Voříšek, Petr  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
700 1 |a van Strien, Arco  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Gregory, Richard D  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Rahbek, Carsten  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
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