Integrating physiological threshold experiments with climate modeling to project mangrove species' range expansion

© 2014 John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

Bibliographische Detailangaben
Veröffentlicht in:Global change biology. - 1999. - 21(2015), 5 vom: 15. Mai, Seite 1928-38
1. Verfasser: Cavanaugh, Kyle C (VerfasserIn)
Weitere Verfasser: Parker, John D, Cook-Patton, Susan C, Feller, Ilka C, Williams, A Park, Kellner, James R
Format: Online-Aufsatz
Sprache:English
Veröffentlicht: 2015
Zugriff auf das übergeordnete Werk:Global change biology
Schlagworte:Journal Article Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't Avicennia germinans Laguncularia racemosa Rhizophora mangle climate change ecological thresholds freeze tolerance range expansion species distribution modeling
LEADER 01000naa a22002652 4500
001 NLM245050221
003 DE-627
005 20231224140025.0
007 cr uuu---uuuuu
008 231224s2015 xx |||||o 00| ||eng c
024 7 |a 10.1111/gcb.12843  |2 doi 
028 5 2 |a pubmed24n0816.xml 
035 |a (DE-627)NLM245050221 
035 |a (NLM)25558057 
040 |a DE-627  |b ger  |c DE-627  |e rakwb 
041 |a eng 
100 1 |a Cavanaugh, Kyle C  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
245 1 0 |a Integrating physiological threshold experiments with climate modeling to project mangrove species' range expansion 
264 1 |c 2015 
336 |a Text  |b txt  |2 rdacontent 
337 |a ƒaComputermedien  |b c  |2 rdamedia 
338 |a ƒa Online-Ressource  |b cr  |2 rdacarrier 
500 |a Date Completed 14.01.2016 
500 |a Date Revised 20.04.2015 
500 |a published: Print-Electronic 
500 |a Citation Status MEDLINE 
520 |a © 2014 John Wiley & Sons Ltd. 
520 |a Predictions of climate-related shifts in species ranges have largely been based on correlative models. Due to limitations of these models, there is a need for more integration of experimental approaches when studying impacts of climate change on species distributions. Here, we used controlled experiments to identify physiological thresholds that control poleward range limits of three species of mangroves found in North America. We found that all three species exhibited a threshold response to extreme cold, but freeze tolerance thresholds varied among species. From these experiments, we developed a climate metric, freeze degree days (FDD), which incorporates both the intensity and the frequency of freezes. When included in distribution models, FDD accurately predicted mangrove presence/absence. Using 28 years of satellite imagery, we linked FDD to observed changes in mangrove abundance in Florida, further exemplifying the importance of extreme cold. We then used downscaled climate projections of FDD to project that these range limits will move northward by 2.2-3.2 km yr(-1) over the next 50 years 
650 4 |a Journal Article 
650 4 |a Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't 
650 4 |a Avicennia germinans 
650 4 |a Laguncularia racemosa 
650 4 |a Rhizophora mangle 
650 4 |a climate change 
650 4 |a ecological thresholds 
650 4 |a freeze tolerance 
650 4 |a range expansion 
650 4 |a species distribution modeling 
700 1 |a Parker, John D  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Cook-Patton, Susan C  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Feller, Ilka C  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Williams, A Park  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Kellner, James R  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
773 0 8 |i Enthalten in  |t Global change biology  |d 1999  |g 21(2015), 5 vom: 15. Mai, Seite 1928-38  |w (DE-627)NLM098239996  |x 1365-2486  |7 nnns 
773 1 8 |g volume:21  |g year:2015  |g number:5  |g day:15  |g month:05  |g pages:1928-38 
856 4 0 |u http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/gcb.12843  |3 Volltext 
912 |a GBV_USEFLAG_A 
912 |a SYSFLAG_A 
912 |a GBV_NLM 
912 |a GBV_ILN_350 
951 |a AR 
952 |d 21  |j 2015  |e 5  |b 15  |c 05  |h 1928-38