Douglas-fir plantations in Europe : a retrospective test of assisted migration to address climate change

© 2014 John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

Bibliographische Detailangaben
Veröffentlicht in:Global change biology. - 1999. - 20(2014), 8 vom: 19. Aug., Seite 2607-17
1. Verfasser: Isaac-Renton, Miriam G (VerfasserIn)
Weitere Verfasser: Roberts, David R, Hamann, Andreas, Spiecker, Heinrich
Format: Online-Aufsatz
Sprache:English
Veröffentlicht: 2014
Zugriff auf das übergeordnete Werk:Global change biology
Schlagworte:Journal Article Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't Pseudotsuga menziesii bioclimatic envelope models exotic species model validation no-analogue climates provenance trials species distribution models
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520 |a We evaluate genetic test plantations of North American Douglas-fir provenances in Europe to quantify how tree populations respond when subjected to climate regime shifts, and we examined whether bioclimate envelope models developed for North America to guide assisted migration under climate change can retrospectively predict the success of these provenance transfers to Europe. The meta-analysis is based on long-term growth data of 2800 provenances transferred to 120 European test sites. The model was generally well suited to predict the best performing provenances along north-south gradients in Western Europe, but failed to predict superior performance of coastal North American populations under continental climate conditions in Eastern Europe. However, model projections appear appropriate when considering additional information regarding adaptation of Douglas-fir provenances to withstand frost and drought, even though the model partially fails in a validation against growth traits alone. We conclude by applying the partially validated model to climate change scenarios for Europe, demonstrating that climate trends observed over the last three decades warrant changes to current use of Douglas-fir provenances in plantation forestry throughout Western and Central Europe 
650 4 |a Journal Article 
650 4 |a Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't 
650 4 |a Pseudotsuga menziesii 
650 4 |a bioclimatic envelope models 
650 4 |a exotic species 
650 4 |a model validation 
650 4 |a no-analogue climates 
650 4 |a provenance trials 
650 4 |a species distribution models 
700 1 |a Roberts, David R  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Hamann, Andreas  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Spiecker, Heinrich  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
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