Probability of detecting nematode infestations for quarantine sampling with imperfect extraction efficacy

For quarantine sampling, it is of fundamental importance to determine the probability of finding an infestation when a specified number of units are inspected. In general, current sampling procedures assume 100% probability (perfect) of detecting a pest if it is present within a unit. Ideally, a nem...

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Veröffentlicht in:Journal of nematology. - 1969. - 43(2011), 1 vom: 01. März, Seite 16-24
1. Verfasser: Chen, Peichen (VerfasserIn)
Weitere Verfasser: Liu, Shih-Chia, Liu, Hung-I, Chen, Tse-Wei, Chiang, Kuo-Szu
Format: Online-Aufsatz
Sprache:English
Veröffentlicht: 2011
Zugriff auf das übergeordnete Werk:Journal of nematology
Schlagworte:Journal Article Monte Carlo simulation method Quarantine sampling binomial distribution detecting nematode infestations hypergeometric distribution modified Baermann's Funnel method
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520 |a For quarantine sampling, it is of fundamental importance to determine the probability of finding an infestation when a specified number of units are inspected. In general, current sampling procedures assume 100% probability (perfect) of detecting a pest if it is present within a unit. Ideally, a nematode extraction method should remove all stages of all species with 100% efficiency regardless of season, temperature, or other environmental conditions; in practice however, no method approaches these criteria. In this study we determined the probability of detecting nematode infestations for quarantine sampling with imperfect extraction efficacy. Also, the required sample and the risk involved in detecting nematode infestations with imperfect extraction efficacy are presented. Moreover, we developed a computer program to calculate confidence levels for different scenarios with varying proportions of infestation and efficacy of detection. In addition, a case study, presenting the extraction efficacy of the modified Baermann's Funnel method on Aphelenchoides besseyi, is used to exemplify the use of our program to calculate the probability of detecting nematode infestations in quarantine sampling with imperfect extraction efficacy. The result has important implications for quarantine programs and highlights the need for a very large number of samples if perfect extraction efficacy is not achieved in such programs. We believe that the results of the study will be useful for the determination of realistic goals in the implementation of quarantine sampling 
650 4 |a Journal Article 
650 4 |a Monte Carlo simulation method 
650 4 |a Quarantine sampling 
650 4 |a binomial distribution 
650 4 |a detecting nematode infestations 
650 4 |a hypergeometric distribution 
650 4 |a modified Baermann's Funnel method 
700 1 |a Liu, Shih-Chia  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Liu, Hung-I  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Chen, Tse-Wei  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Chiang, Kuo-Szu  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
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