Maximum Entropy Aggregation of Expert Predictions
This paper presents a maximum entropy framework for the aggregation of expert opinions where the expert opinions concern the prediction of the outcome of an uncertain event. The event to be predicted and individual predictions rendered are assumed to be discrete random variables. A measure of expert...
| Veröffentlicht in: | Management Science. - Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences, 1954. - 42(1996), 10, Seite 1420-1436 |
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| Format: | Online-Aufsatz |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
1996
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| Zugriff auf das übergeordnete Werk: | Management Science |
| Schlagworte: | Consensus Expert Opinion Maximum Entropy Aggregation Information Theory Decision Aids Physical sciences Philosophy Mathematics Behavioral sciences |
| Online verfügbar |
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