Domestic Discontent and the External Use of Force

Although the diversionary theory of international conflict is intuitively plausible and is supported by much anecdotal evidence, quantitative tests generally have failed to establish a systematic link between domestic political troubles and foreign policy adventurism. In this article we revise the d...

Ausführliche Beschreibung

Bibliographische Detailangaben
Veröffentlicht in:	The Journal of Conflict Resolution. - Sage Publications. - 36(1992), 1, Seite 25-52
1. Verfasser:	Morgan, T. Clifton (VerfasserIn)
Weitere Verfasser:	Bickers, Kenneth N.
Format:	Online-Aufsatz
Sprache:	English
Veröffentlicht:	1992
Zugriff auf das übergeordnete Werk:	The Journal of Conflict Resolution
Schlagworte:	Political science Behavioral sciences Philosophy


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100	1		\|a Morgan, T. Clifton \|e verfasserin \|4 aut
245	1	0	\|a Domestic Discontent and the External Use of Force
264		1	\|c 1992
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520			\|a Although the diversionary theory of international conflict is intuitively plausible and is supported by much anecdotal evidence, quantitative tests generally have failed to establish a systematic link between domestic political troubles and foreign policy adventurism. In this article we revise the diversionary theory. We argue that a state leader will treat an erosion of domestic support more seriously when it comes from within segments of society that are critical in the maintenance of the leader's ruling coalition than when it comes from other domestic groups. We also argue that diversionary behavior typically should involve actions short of war. The revised theory is tested for the United States over the period from 1953 to 1976. Multiple empirical techniques are used to analyze the relationship between the uses of external force by the United States and the level of support for the president among members of the president's party. The results provide strong support for the revised diversionary theory.
540			\|a Copyright 1992 Sage Publications, Inc.
650		4	\|a Political science \|x Military science \|x Armed conflict \|x War
650		4	\|a Political science \|x Political organizations \|x Political parties \|x Political partisanship
650		4	\|a Behavioral sciences \|x Human behavior \|x Social behavior \|x Social interaction \|x Conflict \|x War conflict
650		4	\|a Behavioral sciences \|x Human behavior \|x Social behavior \|x Social interaction \|x Conflict \|x Conflict resolution
650		4	\|a Political science \|x Government \|x Government officials \|x Heads of state \|x Presidents
650		4	\|a Behavioral sciences \|x Human behavior \|x Social behavior \|x Social interaction \|x Conflict \|x Political conflict
650		4	\|a Political science \|x Government \|x Public administration \|x Public policy \|x Foreign policy
650		4	\|a Behavioral sciences \|x Psychology \|x Cognitive psychology \|x Emotion \|x Emotional states \|x Discontent
650		4	\|a Political science \|x Politics \|x International politics \|x International relations \|x International hostility
650		4	\|a Philosophy \|x Applied philosophy \|x Philosophy of science \|x Scientific method \|x Research variables \|x Control variables
655		4	\|a research-article
700	1		\|a Bickers, Kenneth N. \|e verfasserin \|4 aut
773	0	8	\|i Enthalten in \|t The Journal of Conflict Resolution \|d Sage Publications \|g 36(1992), 1, Seite 25-52 \|w (DE-627)30665735X \|w (DE-600)1500229-9 \|x 15528766 \|7 nnns
773	1	8	\|g volume:36 \|g year:1992 \|g number:1 \|g pages:25-52
856	4	0	\|u https://www.jstor.org/stable/174504 \|3 Volltext
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952			\|d 36 \|j 1992 \|e 1 \|h 25-52