Journal Article REDD+ Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't Research Support, U.S. Gov't, Non-P.H.S. Review agricultura agriculture agroforestry causal network civil war climate change conflict conflicto deforestación deforestation democratización democratization dinámica de sistemas escaneo del horizonte establecimiento de prioridades forestry gobernanza governance guerra civil horizon scan infraestructura infrastructure land tenure land-cover change oil palm