Journal Article Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't Research Support, U.S. Gov't, Non-P.H.S. climate change conservation planning Compartmental models Montañas de Santa Mónica SEIR models Santa Monica Mountains West Nile virus adaptive variation aves birds cambio climático disease ecology disease epidemics ecological forecasting ensemble distribution modeling evolución evolution flavivirus genetics genética genética de paisajes genética poblacional infectious diseases landscape genetics maxent migratorio migratory