The interacting effects of food, spring temperature, and global climate cycles on population dynamics of a migratory songbird

© 2015 John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

Bibliographische Detailangaben
Veröffentlicht in:Global change biology. - 1999. - 22(2016), 2 vom: 05. Feb., Seite 544-55
1. Verfasser: Townsend, Andrea K (VerfasserIn)
Weitere Verfasser: Cooch, Evan G, Sillett, T Scott, Rodenhouse, Nicholas L, Holmes, Richard T, Webster, Michael S
Format: Online-Aufsatz
Sprache:English
Veröffentlicht: 2016
Zugriff auf das übergeordnete Werk:Global change biology
Schlagworte:Journal Article Research Support, U.S. Gov't, Non-P.H.S. Black-throated blue warbler El Niño Southern Oscillation Pradel models Setophaga caerulescens climate change mark-recapture migratory songbird phenotypic mismatch mehr... population dynamics recruitment
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520 |a Although long-distance migratory songbirds are widely believed to be at risk from warming temperature trends, species capable of attempting more than one brood in a breeding season could benefit from extended breeding seasons in warmer springs. To evaluate local and global factors affecting population dynamics of the black-throated blue warbler (Setophaga caerulescens), a double-brooded long-distance migrant, we used Pradel models to analyze 25 years of mark-recapture data collected in New Hampshire, USA. We assessed the effects of spring temperature (local weather) and the El Niño Southern Oscillation index (a global climate cycle), as well as predator abundance, insect biomass, and local conspecific density on population growth in the subsequent year. Local and global climatic conditions affected warbler populations in different ways. We found that warbler population growth was lower following El Niño years (which have been linked to poor survival in the wintering grounds and low fledging weights in the breeding grounds) than La Niña years. At a local scale, populations increased following years with warm springs and abundant late-season food, but were unaffected by spring temperature following years when food was scarce. These results indicate that the warming temperature trends might have a positive effect on recruitment and population growth of black-throated blue warblers if food abundance is sustained in breeding areas. In contrast, potential intensification of future El Niño events could negatively impact vital rates and populations of this species 
650 4 |a Journal Article 
650 4 |a Research Support, U.S. Gov't, Non-P.H.S. 
650 4 |a Black-throated blue warbler 
650 4 |a El Niño Southern Oscillation 
650 4 |a Pradel models 
650 4 |a Setophaga caerulescens 
650 4 |a climate change 
650 4 |a mark-recapture 
650 4 |a migratory songbird 
650 4 |a phenotypic mismatch 
650 4 |a population dynamics 
650 4 |a recruitment 
700 1 |a Cooch, Evan G  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Sillett, T Scott  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Rodenhouse, Nicholas L  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Holmes, Richard T  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
700 1 |a Webster, Michael S  |e verfasserin  |4 aut 
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773 1 8 |g volume:22  |g year:2016  |g number:2  |g day:05  |g month:02  |g pages:544-55 
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