Journal Article Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't Editorial National Drought Assessment Research Support, U.S. Gov't, Non-P.H.S. Review Salvelinus confluentus amenazada bull trout climate change climate variability conservation planning decision-support tools drought ecological drought en peligro endangered ensemble extinction risk fire generalized linear model herramientas de apoyo de decisiones hierarchical Bayesian model model uncertainty modelo bayesiano jerárquico planeación de la conservación planeación de la recuperación recovery planning species distribution model suitable habitat