Journal Article climate change Mediterranean Sea Québec Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't biological rates biomass distribution connectance consumer-resource interaction continuous-time multi-state Markov model demographic models dispersal equilibrium fish body size food-webs generality metaweb natural disturbances and logging niche model population viability prediction simulated data species distribution models temperate-boreal ecotone temperature thermal mismatches transient dynamics transition probabilities trophic control virtual ecologist approach