Journal Article Research Support, U.S. Gov't, Non-P.H.S. Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't El Niño Southern Oscillation Moran effect North Pacific High Salvelinus confluentus amenazada bull trout conservation planning decision-support tools dendrochronology en peligro endangered ensemble extinction risk freshwater mussels generalized linear model herramientas de apoyo de decisiones hierarchical Bayesian model model uncertainty modelo bayesiano jerárquico planeación de la conservación planeación de la recuperación recovery planning river discharge sclerochronology species distribution model suitable habitat synchrony